tmoore

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So far tmoore has created 148 blog entries.

T&C | Episode 30: Who Dey

2022-03-04T20:51:21+00:00

We provide predictions on the Super Bowl, which should be heeded, given Will’s accurate NASDAQ premonition; we discuss the drawdown and our analysis on the reasons for it. We also address the bifurcation between the performance of the “average” stock and the index, as well as the likelihood and consequences of the Fed meeting its stated rate rise regime.

T&C | Episode 30: Who Dey2022-03-04T20:51:21+00:00

Market Commentary – Year of the Tiger – February, 2022

2022-02-03T16:05:40+00:00

There are two things we cannot ignore in this month’s recap. One, the historically dreadful January we have seen in stocks. Second, though, is the tremendous run the Cincinnati Bengals have made. Given that today (February 1) marks the beginning of the Lunar New Year and begins the Year of the Tiger, perhaps a fortuitous portent for the orange and black.

Market Commentary – Year of the Tiger – February, 20222022-02-03T16:05:40+00:00

T&C | Episode 29: Fedi Mind Trick

2022-01-14T16:01:43+00:00

We discuss the Fed’s hawkish pivot and whether it is rooted in reality or an effort to use its words to convince the market it is serious about inflation. We also look back to prior tightening cycles as a frame of reference for potential equity market weakness, as well as exploring the omicron variant’s effect on society, supply chains, and the economy more broadly.

T&C | Episode 29: Fedi Mind Trick2022-01-14T16:01:43+00:00

Market Commentary – The Dorian Gray Market – January, 2022

2022-01-14T20:11:48+00:00

We are done with memes as a theme. The market, however, seemingly is not. Look no further than December 23, when a giant ape was delivered to oppose the famous Wall Street bull. A little too on the nose, as far as symbols go.

Market Commentary – The Dorian Gray Market – January, 20222022-01-14T20:11:48+00:00

T&C | Episode 28: Transitory Intransigence

2021-12-17T17:21:06+00:00

Will and Adam discuss the market’s reaction to the last big event of the year, i.e., the Fed’s December meeting. We also try to discern what its stance tells us about the prospects for growth, inflation, and the omicron variant. We also explore the structural reasons inflation might decline despite the shrinking pool of labor, as well as the widening chasm between the performance of the stock market and that of the individual stocks of which it is comprised.

T&C | Episode 28: Transitory Intransigence2021-12-17T17:21:06+00:00

Market Commentary – Pure Imagination – December, 2021

2021-12-09T18:53:20+00:00

For those unfamiliar, this is Gene Wilder playing the title character in Willie Wonka and the Chocolate Factory. Over Thanksgiving, we watched the movie again, and it seems appropriate to use it as inspiration for our newsletter this month, given the market’s current state is as confusing as any we have seen, leaving us to pure imagination to try to decipher what might be next.

Market Commentary – Pure Imagination – December, 20212021-12-09T18:53:20+00:00

T&C | Episode 27: Technical Difficulties

2021-12-08T14:51:25+00:00

After a brief hiatus due to technical difficulties, Will and Adam return to a market fraught with the same. We explore how index performance masks the performance of the average stock, not to mention how the U.S. has diverged from every other market. We also examine the Fed’s shift from its transitory narrative, debate whether proposed tapering is likely bark or bite, and end with an analysis of the Biden administration’s curiously active November, especially against the backdrop of the Omicron variant.

T&C | Episode 27: Technical Difficulties2021-12-08T14:51:25+00:00

T&C | Episode 26: Go Bearcats?

2021-11-08T14:36:04+00:00

With football mania sweeping Cincinnati, we talk about some other manias that are helping lift markets to all-time highs. We also juxtapose the most recent monetary policy decisions of the Fed and Bank of England and how each reflects a slightly variant view of the variant. Finally, we head down the rabbit hole to talk COVID, cryptocurrencies, and oil.

T&C | Episode 26: Go Bearcats?2021-11-08T14:36:04+00:00

Market Commentary – Reversion to the Meme – November, 2021

2021-11-04T21:49:00+00:00

Puns: They are seldom funny. Neither are memes. However, we combine the two this quarter and hope, as we see in math, that two negatives make a positive. Our title pun combines reversion to the mean, a concept wherein a statistic unmoored from its historical average, i.e., its mean, tends to revert toward that level, with meme. For those who may not know, a meme is defined by Oxford as “a humorous image, video, piece of text, etc., that is copied (often with slight variations) and spread rapidly by internet users.”

Market Commentary – Reversion to the Meme – November, 20212021-11-04T21:49:00+00:00

FLUX: October, 2021 Update

2021-10-26T14:43:14+00:00

Formidable Asset Management (“Formidable”) has closely followed Flux Power Holdings (NASDAQ: FLUX) as part of our fundamental research; click here for our September 2021 piece.

FLUX: October, 2021 Update2021-10-26T14:43:14+00:00